How to create software, what predicts the future?

How to create software, what predicts the future?

This program doesn't predict the future. It calculates probabilities, what is the synonym for things what measured in percent. It will calculate the relationships with the variables and that means that it would not predict the future. It gives the vision or model or tip, what would be the next action of the object, what is under the observation.

This kind of computer program bases the statistics. In this program, history is collecting similar cases, what want to predict, and those cases would store in the database. Then the database used to calculate the probability of the cases A and B. That means that the database consists the cases A and B, and those can be used to calculate the probability  ((A/B*100) or in the opposite case( B/A*100)) of those opportunities.

If we are making the database of the political elections the database is easy to make. There are only two possibilities, that the thing would be done or it will be denied, and that thing would cause the variables of the computer program and it's the database are easy to make.

And the data is easy to get for that kind of program, what mission is to calculate the two variables. But the thing is that the program would tell only the percents of a certain type of voting. In this kind of case, the database would need specific data of the cases, which are made in similar cases before. And that means that collecting the data is the problem.

But if we would want to make a database of the movement of some animal, we can use the turning direction as the variable. In this case, collecting the variable, but the problem is that there are very many variables in this kind of database. There are many types of turnings, what animal can make. There are gentle curves and steep turnings, and the speed, what animal used has the mean if we want to make the databases of that kind of thing.

So if we want to make a precise calculation we need precise data of the object, what behaviors we want to predict. The behavior of a thinking organism is the thing what makes all prediction very difficult if they do not consist only probabilities of the poker hands and other kinds of stable things. Or the makers of the probability calculations must start to think, that the people who give the playing cards for the calculation demonstrations are honest.

Probability is not exact information. It just helps to predict some things, by calculating the measured in percent change, that the animal would turn to some direct or some card is taken from the pack of cards? In the most common pack of cards is 52 cards. So if we want to calculate the possibility that the card, what rises from the pack is an ace, we must just say that probability for that case is 1/52*100=1.92307692308 (c. 1,92%)

Probability doesn't take in the count the thing, that somebody could manipulate the variable. This means that the person can take all the aces from the pack of cards. Or that somebody has been trained the animal turn in a certain way. This can destroy the calculations because of the data, what is stored in the database, what the program uses is somehow manipulated.

But when we are creating the probability of the turning direction of the animals, we must follow those objects very intensively. And when we are creating the trusted database of the turning direction of the animal, we must follow the turns in certain situations tens of thousands of times, and that helps to make the database, what the computer program can use for calculating the probability of the turning direction.

By using modern technology like GPS collar, which would also send the speed of an animal,  we can collect the database of the turning directions in certain situations. And then if there are connected two very small cameras the algorithm can find out in which situation the animal, what is under the observations makes some movement, the system, and human operators can find out are some movements reserved for some certain situations like escaping or attacking. And this thing would help to create the behavior model of some animals like Leopards or Tasmanian Devils.

Is "Chronovisor" true or fake?

Is "Chronovisor" true or fake?

In the beginning, I must say that when people are talking about things like seeing to the future, we must understand, that we should think things so seriously. We can think and speak about those things without the need to start a fight or going to the boxing ring. There are tales about things like "Chronovisors", the machines, what can see things from the past to the future.

There is a possibility, that the machine is letterbox, were members of some secret societies leave the messages in the form of microfilm. And those microfilms involve the predictions what they will d, and what kind of firms they will invest next. This would be a natural explanation for "Chronovisor", but there are more attempts to explain, how this machine will work if it exists.

And one explanation is that those things are the black hole based camera obscure. In some theories, those systems are only televisions where is a cathode ray tube. In some theories, those tubes are adjusting the frequency, where the radiation, what comes from some particle accelerators are sending is visible. Or in some other explanation is that in the cathode ray tube would be fully symmetrical ball-shaped crystal, where is the electromagnetic black hole inside it.

The Vatican claims that it has a machine, which is claimed to see things in the future and the past. This machine is called as "Chronovisor" and the thing is that it is claimed as the fake, or the explanation is given by that the "Chronovisor" would create a microscopic black hole in it, and that radiation would cause the effect, that the machine could create vision from the future or the past. This thing would make it work like "Camera obscure" or the wormhole version of that device. If "Chronovisor" is the thing, what operates by wormhole, it would act by using the electromagnetic black holes, what will oscillate with the same frequency, with some black hole in the past or future.

But this is only theory. The thing in "Chronovisor" is that we don't know, what kind of predictions the creator of that machine has been made, and that makes this system mystic. There is a possibility that some researchers would play the believers, because they wanted to see, how this machine works. If some people, who have studied in University would believe that thing, there must be some kind of evidence that the machine would work. 

If we would see another thing, what would make Chronovisor functionally, and that is that the black holes can turn the light back to Earth, and if the Chrnovisor would receive those signals, there is a possibility that it can see things, what have been happen in the past, and maybe the things, what it can see in the future are only stories. The machine has given an idea for astronomers or some philosophers, that if they could find the water planet from the distant universe, they could see things, what has happened in the past, by using the water as a mirror.

And if the planet would be 250 light-years away the astronomers would see, what happened 500 years ago, but this thing is impossible because telescopes are not sharp enough. And this is only the theoretical way to see things, what happened in the past. Many people think that this kind of ideas is only the way to associate or nicer to say, creating philosophical thoughts.  In this part of this text, I must say that maybe entire "Chronovisor" is the bluff. 

Also, there is theory, that the "Chronovisor" is the tablet, what some time traveler has been dropped to the ground. And maybe the catholic priests have found it, and they have seen the films, what are stored in it. But here I must say, that there are many explanations for the"Chronovisor", and one of the most interesting is, that the system sees accidentally the transmitting of the distant civilizations.

But as we see, many people think that the "Chronovisor" is some kind of letterbox, where some persons leave messages, what they are going to do next. And those people might be members of the organizations like "Opus Dei". So, in this case, the system would be only the equipment for chancing messages between some secret catholic societies, and the choice is yours.  What explanation would you believe?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chronovisor